|"You know how to pitch, don't you|
Steve? You just put your fingers
From the QMAX (Quality Matrix) perspective, however, Strasburg's off-day was a first for him. It represented the first time that one of his starts registered as a "7" in the QMAX "S" column (for "stuff", measuring overall hit prevention). That's the worst possible score you can get: Strasburg had eluded it over his first two dozen big league starts.
Overall, "Steve" (who probably won't change his name to Harry Morgan just to satisfy our unquenchable thirst for vintage black-and-white movies) is (as Bacall says to Bogart at an entendre-laden juncture in The Big Sleep) "doing alright," as a glance at his basic career data (2.44 ERA, 11.1 K/9 and 163 ERA+) clearly indicates.
Here's the Strasburg career in a QMAX nutshell. What's emerged thus far is that he's not--at least, not yet--a dominating hit prevention pitcher, as he's barely registering in the very top hit prevention category. What "top" hit prevention he's doing is in the more moderately dominating "2" region.
We added a "Success Square Analysis" feature, which shows the tendencies within the overall region where the pitcher is doing his best work. That 32% in the "outer" region is about twice as high as is ought to be, and suggests some chance of regression.
And that 8% figure for the "1" range (measuring it birectionally) in the "QMAX Range Probability" data (the figure rendered in baby blue...) is only around league average.
Still, a kid pitcher who's putting you in the 50% probability range for the top two performance categories every time he takes the mound is clearly nothing to sneeze at. In fact, it's something that one should probably whistle about, if they could only put their lips together and...